Scott Arbeiter on Why Trump’s Refugee Cap Compromises the US Economy and American Identity

Syrians who were displaced by the Turkish military operation in northeastern Syria wait to receive tents and aid supplies at the Bardarash refugee camp north of Mosul, Iraq, on Oct. 17, 2019. (AP Photo/Hussein Malla)

Scott Arbeiter is the president of World Relief, one of the nine refugee resettlement agencies. The views expressed in this commentary do not necessarily represent those of BCNN1.


Yesterday marked the end of the first full month in decades in which the U.S. resettled zero refugees. How did this happen? At the beginning of October, the State Department unveiled the new cap for refugees in fiscal year 2020: 18,000. It’s a shockingly — and shamefully — low number, and it has not yet even been signed and put into motion to keep resettlement moving. This lapse and this number are at complete odds with the United States’ character and our historic record.

Recently released data from Pew Research Center shows how the number of admitted refugees has varied over the past several decades. In the 1990s, amid economic and political optimism, admittances soared, with an average of 116,000 refugees entering the country from 1990 to 1995.

Unsurprisingly, the attacks of 9/11 caused the number to decrease significantly, but President George W. Bush continued to set the cap at 70,000 or more each year of his administration. President Obama continued at this level before responding to a global refugee crisis in the last months of his presidency by raising the cap to 110,000 for the federal government’s fiscal year 2017.

Since that time, however, the number has fallen to historic lows. After taking office in 2017, President Trump put a freeze on new admittances and reduced the ceiling mid-year, such that far fewer than anticipated — around 53,700 — were admitted to the country. The following fiscal year, the cap was set at 45,000, and this past year, it was set at a mere 30,000.

Defenders of the administration’s policy usually cite economic or security concerns, worrying that admitting a large number of refugees will take jobs from Americans or threaten their safety.

“U.S. refugee ceiling and admissions have declined
in recent years” Graphic courtesy of Pew Research
Center

The truth is that Americans are far more likely to die in a car crash (1 in 8,096 in a year) or be struck by lightning (1 in 700,000 in a year) than die in a terrorist attack led by a refugee (1 in 3.86 billion per year). Fear of these strangers says far more about Americans’ mindsets than they do about the people on whom they’re centered.

The economic concerns don’t make much sense either. To put the numbers in perspective: The current cap — 30,000 — is about the size of the University of Kentucky. The proposed cap — 18,000 — is less than the size of Boston University’s undergraduate enrollment. Even the highest cap proposed in recent years — 110,000 — is only a little bit bigger than the number of people that can fit into the University of Michigan’s football stadium. We’d have to admit hundreds of thousands more refugees before they began to pose any threat to U.S. jobs.

If anything, admitting more refugees increases our economic stability. As other refugee advocates have observed, we’re currently looking at a labor market with more jobs than people to fill them. And refugees also help grow the overall economy as they become consumers and taxpayers. Employers need the hard work ethic and dedication refugees bring to the table to make the most of our current economic boom.

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Source: Religion News Service