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British Columbia election ‘too close to call’ according to new Ipsos poll

A new poll released a day before the B.C. provincial election says the race between the BC Liberals and BC NDP is “too close to call.”

An Ipsos poll has the NDP with 40 per cent of the vote and the Liberals with 39 per cent, calling the race a “statistical dead heat.”

Both the Liberals and NDP showed declines in popularity since the last Ipsos poll on May 1, while the BC Greens are up three points to 17 per cent support.

Sixteen per cent of respondents remained undecided or did not have an opinion.

“The biggest factor on Election Day (and advance polls) is which voters actually turn up to cast their ballot. With more than four-in-10 voters choosing to abstain in the past few B.C. elections, this can have a substantial impact on the results,” Ipsos said in a news release.

In 2013 it was clear that BC Liberals, fearing an NDP victory, turned out, while NDP voters, especially younger NDP voters, did not. Our current vote turnout model suggests that the BC Liberals will benefit from a lower voter turnout and that the popular vote remains close as turnout goes up.”

The poll asked respondents whether it was time for another party to take over, or if the Christy Clark Liberal government had done a good job and deserved to be re-elected. Results showed less support for Clark with 58 per cent of votes calling for another party, up seven points from last week’s poll.

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SOURCE:  
Global News

BCNN1 • May 8, 2017


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